Blackjack is one of the most popular casino games. It is easy to learn, and with a little practice, you can become a good blackjack player. However, many people believe that they can win at blackjack by using basic strategy.
Basic strategy is a set of rules that tell you what to do in every possible situation at the blackjack table. While basic strategy will help you make the right decision most of the time, it is not enough to guarantee you will win.
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There are several reasons why blackjack basic strategy is not enough. First, it does not take into account the house edge. The house edge is the percentage of each bet that the casino expects to keep over the long run. For example, if the house edge is 1%, then for every $100 you bet, you can expect to lose $1 on average.
While this may not seem like much, it can add up over time. If you are playing blackjack with a house edge of 1%, then you can expect to lose about $5 per hour on average.
Second, basic strategy does not take into account the effect of luck. Even if you make the right decision every time, there is still a chance that you will lose because of bad luck.
For example, if you always hit when you have a 16 and the dealer has a 7 showing, then you will win about 80% of the time. However, there will be times when the dealer will have a 7 showing and you will still lose.
Third, basic strategy does not take into account changes in your odds as the game goes on. For example, if you start with a 10 and the dealer has a 6 showing, then your chances of winning are about 60%. However, if you hit and get a 4, then your chances of winning drop to 40%.
This is because there are more low cards left in the deck than high cards. When your odds change like this, it is called “changing variance” and it can have a big impact on your results.
Fourth, basic strategy does not take into account how much money you have to bet. If you only have enough money to bet on one hand, then you should not split or double down no matter what cards you have.
This is because your chances of winning are better if you bet all of your money on one hand instead of spreading it out over multiple hands.
Finally, basic strategy does not take into account what other players at the table are doing. If everyone at the table is hitting when they have 16 and standing when they have 17, then it would be better for you to do the same thing even though basic strategy says otherwise.
This is because following what everyone else is doing at the table can help camouflage your own playing style and make it harder for other players or the dealer to figure out what cards you have.
While blackjack basic strategy can help you make better decisions at the table, it is not enough to guarantee that you will win money. If you want to win money consistently at blackjack, then you need to take into account all of these factors and more.
