What Percentage of Blackjack Hands Should You Win?

As a rule of thumb, you should expect to win about 60% of your blackjack hands. This means that for every 10 hands you play, you should win approximately six of them. Of course, this is just a general guideline and your actual results may vary depending on a number of factors.

For instance, if you are playing with a particularly good strategy, you may be able to increase your chances of winning to closer to 70%. Conversely, if you are playing with a suboptimal strategy, your win rate may drop to closer to 50%.

In addition to your overall strategy, the specific rules of the blackjack game you are playing can also affect your expected win rate. For example, games that use multiple decks tend to be slightly more favorable for the player than those that only use one deck.

This is because it is less likely that the dealer will bust when they have more cards to work with. Similarly, games that allow players to re-split pairs and double down on any two cards tend to be more player-friendly than those that do not offer these options.

Of course, even with a perfect strategy and favorable rules, there will always be some element of luck involved in blackjack. This means that even the best players will occasionally lose hands that they should have won, and vice versa.

Over the long run, however, your results should closely match your expected win rate. So if you are playing blackjack with a 60% expected win rate, you can expect to win about six out of every ten hands you play.