Poker is a game of skill, and like any other game, the better players tend to win more often. But how much more often? Just how skewed are the poker odds in favor of the best players?
To get an idea of how top players perform, let’s look at a recent study of online poker. The study looked at a sample of over 16 million hands played online at fixed-limit Texas Hold’em tables. The results showed that the best players (in the top 10%) won an average of 28.
4% of the hands they played. That means that for every four hands they played, they won one.
The next best group (11-20%) won an average of 21.3% of their hands, while the group in the middle (51-60%) only won 15.7% of their hands on average.
PRO TIP:Poker is a game of skill and luck. While some players may be more experienced than others, there is no way to guarantee success in any given session. The percentage of poker players who win will vary from one game to the next, depending on the players’ abilities and the luck of the draw.
The bottom 10% were even worse off, winning just 11.8% of their hands.
So it’s clear that the best players do win a disproportionate share of the pots, but just how big is that edge? To put it in perspective, if two equally skilled players sat down to play 1,000 hands of poker, the better player would be expected to win about 284 more hands than their opponent. That’s a significant edge, but it’s still less than a 3:1 advantage.
Of course, these are just averages and in any given session, anything can happen. But over the long run, the best players will win more often than less skilled players.
So if you want to be a winning player, you need to put in the work to develop your skills and learn from the best.
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